Tuesday, April 21, 2015

Global Estimates of Fine Particulate Matter from Space

The View from Afar - Satellite-Derived Estimates of Global PM2.5 (1 page pdf, Environmental Health Perspectives, Feb. 2, 2015)

Today we review research into recent global estimates of PM2.5 using space based sensors. Over the last decade, a trend toward worsening conditions in South and East Asia (with 51% more of the population exposed to pollution above WHO guidelines rose to 70%) and slightly improved conditions in the eastern USA and Canada (where the exposed population declined from 62% to 19%) was estimated from these satellite observations at a 10 km resolution. The authors expect in future that similar estimates may be made of NO2 concentrations at an improved resolution which may be more helpful in pin pointing urban pollution conditions and their sources.

  pm for USa china

 Key Quotes:

“More than 3 million people died prematurely in 2010 due to ambient exposure to fine particulate matter (PM2.5), according to estimates from the Global Burden of Disease Study”

“We found notable trends of increasing PM2.5 in South and East Asia, where billions of people live. Meanwhile, parts of North America are getting cleaner,”

“In a sense, the satellites we use are little more than extremely well calibrated cameras that take pictures of the earth below. When aerosol particles are present, these pictures begin to look a little hazy,”

“The researchers used AOD data …to estimate ground-level PM2.5 at a spatial resolution of approximately 10 km × 10 km. Although some regions experienced a decrease in PM2.5 over the period 1998–2012, the global population-weighted average increased by an estimated 2.1% per year. Rising levels of air pollution in developing regions in South and East Asia largely drove the upward trend”

 “researchers estimated that the proportion of people in South and East Asia exposed to PM2.5 at levels exceeding the World Health Organization (WHO) interim target of 35 μg/m3 rose from 51% in 1998–2000 to 70% in 2010–2012. In contrast, the proportion of North Americans exposed to PM2.5 at levels above the WHO air quality guideline of 10 μg/ m3 fell from 62% in 1998–2000 to 19% in 2010-12”

 “Satellite-based estimates reported here will enable researchers to design and conduct large epidemiological studies in low- and middle-income countries that lack the extensive ground monitoring networks found in higher income countries,”

“In the future, we hope to infer global PM2.5 data at a higher spatial resolution and to investigate other air pollution compounds, such as nitrogen dioxide, using satellite data,”

Saturday, April 18, 2015

What is the Role for Business in Addressing Climate Change?

Climate Change’s Bottom Line (Burt Helm, New York Times, Jan. 31, 2015)

Also discussed here: RISKY BUSINESS: The Economic Risks of Climate Change in the United States (56 page pdf, Risky Business Project, Jun. 2014)

And here: Heat in the Heartland: Climate Change and Economic Risk in the Midwest (58 page pdf, Risky Business Project, Jan. 23, 2015)

And here: Stern Review: The Economics of Climate Change (662 page pdf, Nicholas Stern, chair of the Grantham Research Institute on Climate Change and the Environment at the London School of Economics, Oct. 30, 2006)

Today we review the work of the “Risky Business Project” which was formed by a group of high level business and political leaders in the USA who wish to examine the probably outcomes of continued inaction on climate change by their country (and the world) while calling for the need to adapt to and minimize those changes. Unlike most environmental issues which have been addressed by going to government action from problem identification, research and policy based on scientific evidence, climate change has been portrayed as an attack on personal liberty through increased government control, camouflaged as denial of the science.

The Risky Business project aims to swing the consensus in the USA from a debate on the science to a consensus based on evidence of economic impacts focused on regional assessments and both on the short and long term. A report similar to the Stern report for the UK estimates $15.8B economic impacts for the USA by 2100. If the Project succeeds in showing how climate change hits the pocket book and business profits, maybe we’ll see that long delayed and necessary action by
  business, the public sector and government. climatic extremes and the new normal  

Key Quotes:

“Our goal with the Risky Business Project is not to confront the doubters. Rather, it is to bring American business and government—doubters and believers alike—together to look squarely at the potential risks posed by climate change, and to consider whether it’s time to take out an insurance policy of our own.”

“When looking at climate change, it’s particularly important to consider the outlier events and not just the most likely scenarios. Indeed, the “outlier” 1-in-100 year event today will become the 1-in-10 year event as the Earth continues to warm. Put another way, over time the extremes will become the “new normal.”

“Our research combines peer-reviewed climate science projections through the year 2100 with empirically-derived estimates of the impact of projected changes in temperature, precipitation, sea levels, and storm activity on the U.S. economy”

 “I think it’s the existential threat of our day…Once you see it as having catastrophic impact, any economic argument follows that, because you’re not going to have an economy.”

 “Climate change would increase energy demand in Texas by between 3.4 and 9.2 percent by midcentury. Crop yields in Missouri and Illinois would face a 15 percent decline over the next 25 years. And in the Northeast, annual property damage from severe storms — from hurricanes to blizzards — would likely increase $11.1 billion, to a total of $15.8 billion by the end of the century.”

 “The whole point of all of this is that it can be mitigated…The enemies of what we’re trying to do are short-termism and a sense of hopelessness. But if we act soon we can avoid the worst outcomes and adapt.” “Congress tends not to act until the broad mainstream, including business, is aboard.”

Tuesday, April 14, 2015

Estimating Health Risks from Air Pollution Using Fixed Sites or Personal Monitors

An air quality measurement station in Edinburg...
An air quality measurement station in Edinburgh, Scotland (Photo credit: Wikipedia)
Estimating risk of emergency room visits for asthma from personal versus fixed site measurements of NO2 (6 page pdf, Scott Weichenthal, Patrick Bélisle, Eric Lavigne, Paul J. Villeneuve, Amanda Wheeler, Xiaohong Xu, Lawrence Joseph, Environmental Research, Feb. 2015)

Today we review research from Windsor, Ontario which compared the exposure to NO2 from an Ogawa personal exposure meter to daily exposure estimated from a fixed nearby measurement site, part of the National Air Pollution Surveillance (NAPS) network and in reference to emergency asthmatic cases. Results indicated that next to zero correlation between the two values from a sample of almost 1,000 measurements. The authors concluded that more attention must be paid to how exposure to pollution is estimated for risk estimates in epidemiological studies. This has significant implications for urban air quality network design as
well.


Key Quotes:

“In this study, our aim was to apply a Bayesian measurement error adjustment method that accommodates both a change in scale and measurement error variance to adjust risk estimates from fixed site values to those from personal exposures”

 “In general, the weak correlation between short-term measures of personal and fixed-site NO2 observed in Windsor is consistent with existing evidence and suggests that caution is required when using fixed-site monitors to estimate short-term variations in personal NO2 exposures”

“Our findings suggest that risk estimates based on fixed-site NO2 concentrations may differ substantially from estimates based on personal exposures if the change in scale and/or measurement error is large. In practice, one must always keep the scale being used in mind when interpreting risk estimates and not assume that coefficients for ambient concentrations reflect risks at the personal level.”

Thursday, April 9, 2015

A Check List for Managing Urban Air Quality

Growing Public Health Concerns from Poor Urban Air Quality: Strategies for Sustainable Urban Living (9 page pdf, Bhaskar Kura, Suruchi Verma, Elena Ajdari, Amrita Iyer, Computational Water, Energy, and Environmental Engineering, Apr. 2013)

Today we review a paper that zeroes in on the issue of urban air pollution and its health impacts, identifying which pollutants cause the greatest harm and what to do about that in terms of identifying and controlling pollution sources. Given that a million premature deaths and another million pre-native deaths are linked to urban air pollution, along with 2-5% GDP costs for developed and developing countries respectively, much more attention is needed at the municipal level now.

 urban aq manageemnt  

Key Quotes:

 “more than 1 billion people are exposed to outdoor air pollution annually. Urban air pollution is linked to about 1 million premature deaths and 1 million pre-native deaths each year…is estimated to cost approximately 2% of GDP in developed countries and 5% in developing countries”

“ contribution of these transportation sources to the overall ambient concentration of that particular air pollutant:
• Carbon monoxide (CO) [70% to 90%]
• Hydrocarbons likemethane (CH4), gasoline (C8H18) and diesel vapors, benzene (C6H6), formaldehyde (CH2O), butadiene (C4H6) and acetaldehyde (CH3CHO). [50%]
• Oxides of nitrogen (NOx) - [45% to 50%]
• Greenhouse gases like carbon dioxide [30%] in developed countries and [15%] worldwide.
• Particulate matter ((PM10/PM2.5) - [25%]. In Europe, the average levels for PM10is approximately 40 μg/m3, and in Beijing the average level is 141 μg/m3.
 • Sulfur dioxide (SO2) - [5%]
• Lead– Lead is a toxic metal mainly used as an anti- knocking agent in gasoline (Lead tetraethyl - Pb(C2H5)4) and is also used in batteries (lead dioxide as an anode and lead as a cathode).
 • Odors- Diesel and gasoline engines are the major sources of odors”

“Conceptual urban air quality management approach:
 • Identify sources of air pollution in the immediate urban area..
• identify the specific pollutants that may be released in the air environment
• Conduct preliminary air quality monitoring to identify the concentration ranges for air pollutants.
. • Identify the best monitoring techniques, equipment, and resources needed to understand the short term and long term trends of these pollutants
 • Establish a permanent network of air quality monitoring stations to measure criteria pollutants…
• Develop a database of air pollutant emission quantities from various sources…
 • Evaluate the relationships between the emission quantities and the ambient concentrations under various meteorological conditions
 • Prioritize the sources of air pollution for regulating.
 • developing policies to control emissions and also to make changes in public behavior which may be responsible for poor air quality (traffic; open burning; fuel combustion; others)
 • Develop a decision support system to integrate the ambient air quality data to compute exposures and health risk probabilities..
• Use the data from the decision support system to assist the policy makers, scientists, and the public to achieve the required air quality management goals”

Tuesday, April 7, 2015

How Can Smart Phones Measure Exposure to Air Pollution?

Using Personal Sensors to Assess the Exposome and Acute Health Effects (15 page pdf, Mark J. Nieuwenhuijsen, David Donaire-Gonzalez, Maria Foraster, David Martinez and Andres Cisneros, Int. J. Environ. Res. Public Health, Aug. 6, 2014)

Also discussed here: Variability in and Agreement between Modelled and Personal Continuously Measured Black Carbon Levels Using Novel Smartphone and Sensor Technologies ( Abstract, Mark J Nieuwenhuijsen, David Donaire-Gonzalez, Ioar Rivas , Montserrat de Castro, Marta Cirach, Gerard Hoek, Edmund Seto, Michael Jerrett, Jordi Sunyer, Environ Sci Technol, Jan. 26, 2015)

And here: Researchers detect students are exposed to high levels of air pollution during trips to school (Press Release, CREAL, Jan. 29, 2015)

 Today we review research into the personal exposure of students during the day to air pollution, using a smart-phone and various sensors stashed away in a backpack carried by the students. Results indicates that pollution levels on the way to school were twice as high as at home largely because of the closer proximity to vehicle emissions.

  cell phone aq    

Key Quotes:

“found that levels of air pollution were more than twice as high during the journeys to school (2.8 microgram/m3) than at home (1.3 microgram/m3) and the levels at school were slightly higher than at home (1.3 microgram/m3) in the city of Barcelona”

“we found considerable variation in the black carbon levels during the day with the highest levels measured during commuting periods (Geometric mean=2.8 ug/m3) and the lowest levels at home (Geometric mean=1.3 ug/m3)”  

"for the first time we used novel smartphone apps (now only used for research but in future can be downloaded for everyone) and sensor technology to measure positioning, physical activity and air pollution simultaneously in children and the results show that air pollution levels are quite variable during the day".

"when children are closer to cars during journeys to school their air pollution levels increase significantly. Also when they are at school during the day their air pollutions are higher than at home, probably because there are more cars around during the day."

"smartphone and sensor technology is developing rapidly and it becomes now easier for people to carry with them a range of sensors to measure their environment and health parameters. This could be used for disease prevention. People can see where there are hotspots of air pollution and avoid them if they want."

Thursday, April 2, 2015

Is there a Link between Air Pollution and Stress?

Associations between air pollution and perceived stress: the Veterans Administration Normative Aging Study (23 page pdf, Amar J Mehta, Laura D Kubzansky, Brent A Coull, Itai Kloog, Petros Koutrakis , Avron Spiro III, Pantel Vokonas, Joel Schwartz, Environmental Health, Jan. 27, 2015)

Today we review research conducted in the Boston area with white older men whose exposure to air pollution was averaged over one to 4 weeks over a period of 12 years and compared with a stress index, Perceived Stress Scale, for the previous week. Stress has been found to be associated with depression and depression with a greater risk of heart disease and death. Results indicate a strong association with the vehicle emissions, such as PM 2.5 and nitrogen dioxide (NO2), particularly in colder months of the year,  when higher admissions to emergency for depression take place.

 stress and AQ  

Key Quotes:

“Perceived stress has been linked with increased likelihood of biological dysregulation including inflammation …and greater risk of cardiovascular disease and premature mortality... Both social and physical determinants (e.g., socioeconomic status, noise, crowding), of perceived stress have been evaluated …and it is also hypothesized from earlier studies that the association between air pollution and depression may be mediated by perception of air quality”

“Air pollution was associated with higher levels of perceived stress in this sample of older men, particularly in colder months for specific pollutants.”

 “Fine particles (PM2.5), black carbon (BC), nitrogen dioxide, and particle number counts (PNC) at moving averages of 1, 2, and 4-weeks were associated with higher perceived stress ratings”

“Notably, PNC, BC, and NO2 are all traffic pollutants, suggesting that traffic emissions, and particularly fresh ultrafine particles, are the principal source of these associations.”

“a multi-city time series analysis demonstrated that same-day increases in air concentrations of carbon monoxide, and NO2 during warm months, and PM10 during cold months were associated with more emergency admissions for depression. If air pollution increases perceptions of stress, and higher levels of stress trigger more depressive symptoms and episodes, this may be one pathway by which air pollution alters depressive status.”